Policymaking | David Orban

The Jolting Mindset: Why Exponential Thinking No Longer Explains Our Reality

July 14, 2025 / Artificial Intelligence, Policymaking, Technology

The Jolting Technologies Hypothesis is a complete framework for interpreting an increasingly complex and rapidly changing world What if the world isn’t changing exponentially, but superexponentially? What if the acceleration itself is accelerating? What if the mathematical models we use to predict technological progress, guiding trillion-dollar investments, inform startup strategies, and shape government policies, are […]

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AI 2027: Are We Ready for Superintelligence?

April 6, 2025 / Artificial Intelligence, Life, Policymaking, Security, Technology

In the AI 2027 scenario forecast, published just a few of days ago, the authors Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean, discuss how the next two or three years could play out as AI becomes stronger and stronger, with AGI potentially around the corner and ASI right behind it. In

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Radical Human Longevity

July 14, 2024 / Health, Policymaking, Science, The Context

If you ask me my age, it is very likely that I will respond with a round number of the decade, not because it will happen that I am 40, 50, or 60 years old, but because it has been my habit to round up and so as of today I will indeed answer that

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Humanoid Robots and the Future of Labor

July 3, 2024 / Artificial Intelligence, Policymaking, Robotics, Technology

In the latest episode of Searching for the Question Live, I had the pleasure of hosting Adam Dorr from RethinkX, for a conversation about the impending revolution of humanoid robots and AI. Adam painted a picture of a future where robots could outnumber humans 10 to 1, performing tasks we can’t even imagine yet, being

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The Challenges Of Unions Between AI And Humanoid Robots

June 20, 2024 / Artificial Intelligence, Policymaking, Technology

In this live stream, I chat with Enrico Coppotelli of Italian union CISL Lazio, exploring the contemporary challenges that trade unions face in the era of Artificial Intelligence and humanoid robots. We analyze the implications of advanced automation on work, the transformations of the labor market and the new skills required. The conversation also focuses

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Innovation And Tradition: A Role For Peer-to-Peer Communities

June 15, 2024 / Learning, Policymaking, Technology

In a conversation with Diana, she noted that it takes time for innovations to become traditions, through a couple of generations. The first grows up with the innovation, getting used to it, and the second generation is taught by the first to accept it as the norm. The challenge is that in a period of

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On AI Copyrights

April 29, 2024 / Artificial Intelligence, Conference, Policymaking

The following is the edited transcript of a presentation delivered at the conference of the IACAI AI Copyright Agency in Seoul on April 29, 2024 As AI systems become increasingly adept at creating and generating content, existing legal frameworks must be re-evaluated to balance innovation and the rights of human creators. What are the key

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Remembering Vernor Vinge: A 2008 Interview on the Technological Singularity

April 4, 2024 / Artificial Intelligence, Interview, Policymaking

Vernor Vinge passed away recently. He was a visionary science fiction writer and thinker who greatly influenced our understanding of the potential future of technology. He presented the concept of Technological Singularity at NASA in 1993. I want to share an interview I conducted with Vernor on March 31, 2008, in which we discussed his

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What Data for AI Training? The example of Japan

June 5, 2023 / Artificial Intelligence, Policymaking

The question of the data sources for training AI systems is not at all trivial. Depending on the purpose, and the jurisdiction, there can be different answers. Social media platforms have for long time been seen as guilty to exploit user data for ad targeting, without a fair exchange of value, for example. There is

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Petition to reactivate ChatGPT in Italy

April 8, 2023 / Artificial Intelligence, Policymaking

I signed the petition to reactivate access to ChatGPT in Italy via Change.org. The dynamic co-evolution of technology’s progress and its regulation fulfills the needs of society in different ways in different countries. Italy constantly appears to favor a more conservative approach, staying behind and then expecting to be able to catch up. In times of

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